Khalil ShakirorMatthew Golden?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Matthew Golden
Matthew Golden outscores Khalil Shakir in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Khalil Shakir comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Matthew Golden, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Matthew Golden projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Matthew Golden faces the Chicago Bears (7% more than average to WRs), Khalil Shakir faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Matthew Golden wins 60%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 15.1
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Khalil ShakirWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Matthew GoldenWR, GB, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.2 | 8.0 |
| PPR projection | 9.3 | 9.6 |
| Standard projection | 5.0 | 6.4 |
| Rank this week | WR37 | WR33 |
| Matchup | at LAR | vs CHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.8 | 12.3 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 88% |
| Trade value | — | — |