Jordan AddisonorMike Evans?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Mike Evans
Mike Evans outscores Jordan Addison in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jordan Addison comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Mike Evans, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 7.6 half-PPR points in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Mike Evans faces the Denver Broncos (16% fewer than average to WRs), Jordan Addison faces the Miami Dolphins (10% fewer than average to WRs). Mike Evans is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 14.1
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 40%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 p.m. ET | Mike EvansWR, SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.6 | 7.6 |
| PPR projection | 8.9 | 9.2 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | WR38 | WR37 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 6.9 | 10.6 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | 8.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 98% | 33% |
| Trade value | — | 2 |