Brian Thomas Jr.orCooper Kupp?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Brian Thomas Jr.

Brian Thomas Jr. outscores Cooper Kupp in 55% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Cooper Kupp comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Brian Thomas Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Brian Thomas Jr. has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (22% more than average to WRs); Cooper Kupp faces the Las Vegas Raiders (9% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Brian Thomas Jr.
Floor
2.3
Median
5.6
Ceiling
11.6
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
54%
Cooper Kupp
Floor
1.9
Median
4.9
Ceiling
10.3
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
63%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatBrian Thomas Jr.WR, JAX, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETCooper KuppWR, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.45.7
PPR projection7.67.1
Standard projection5.34.3
Rank this weekWR43WR46
Matchupat TENat LV
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game4.15.2
Last season per game8.25.8
Snap share, last game52%73%
Trade value——