A.J. BrownorKhalil Shakir?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean A.J. Brown
A.J. Brown outscores Khalil Shakir in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Khalil Shakir comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean A.J. Brown, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. A.J. Brown projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Khalil Shakir has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (15% more than average to WRs); A.J. Brown faces the Miami Dolphins (13% fewer than average to WRs). A.J. Brown still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | A.J. BrownWR, NE, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | Khalil ShakirWR, BUF, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.8 | 8.7 |
| PPR projection | 10.8 | 10.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.7 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | WR23 | WR26 |
| Matchup | at MIA | vs BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.9 | 7.3 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 91% | 60% |
| Trade value | 7 | — |