Khalil ShakirorLuther Burden III?

Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir outscores Luther Burden III in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Luther Burden III comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Khalil Shakir, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Luther Burden III projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Khalil Shakir has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (15% more than average to WRs); Luther Burden III faces the Seattle Seahawks (24% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Khalil Shakir
Floor
3.1
Median
7.6
Ceiling
15.5
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
36%
Luther Burden III
Floor
2.3
Median
7.4
Ceiling
17.4
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
39%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKhalil ShakirWR, BUF, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETLuther Burden IIIWR, CHI, Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.78.8
PPR projection10.910.7
Standard projection6.57.0
Rank this weekWR26WR24
Matchupvs BALat SEA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.311.4
Last season per game8.17.0
Snap share, last game60%61%
Trade value—13