Luther Burden IIIorTerry McLaurin?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Terry McLaurin
Terry McLaurin outscores Luther Burden III in 56% of simulations.
Luther Burden III still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Terry McLaurin is the better bet, not a sure thing. Terry McLaurin projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Terry McLaurin faces the New York Giants (8% more than average to WRs), Luther Burden III faces the Green Bay Packers (1% more than average to WRs). Terry McLaurin is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 16.7
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 16.8
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Luther Burden IIIWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Terry McLaurinWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.2 | 8.8 |
| PPR projection | 10.1 | 10.6 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 7.1 |
| Rank this week | WR29 | WR25 |
| Matchup | at GB | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 9.3 | 8.4 |
| Last season per game | 7.0 | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 75% |
| Trade value | — | 6 |