Keon ColemanorLuther Burden III?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Keon Coleman
Keon Coleman outscores Luther Burden III in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Luther Burden III comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Keon Coleman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Keon Coleman projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Keon Coleman faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs), Luther Burden III faces the Green Bay Packers (1% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 16.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 16.7
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Keon ColemanWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Luther Burden IIIWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 8.2 |
| PPR projection | 10.0 | 10.2 |
| Standard projection | 6.5 | 6.3 |
| Rank this week | WR29 | WR31 |
| Matchup | at LAR | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.7 | 9.3 |
| Last season per game | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |