Jaylen WaddleorTerry McLaurin?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jaylen Waddle
Jaylen Waddle outscores Terry McLaurin in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Terry McLaurin comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jaylen Waddle, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jaylen Waddle projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Terry McLaurin has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (15% more than average to WRs); Jaylen Waddle faces the San Francisco 49ers (1% fewer than average to WRs). Jaylen Waddle still wins more often despite that. Terry McLaurin is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 17.5
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 32%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Terry McLaurinWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.4 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 11.3 | 11.0 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | WR24 | WR25 |
| Matchup | at SF | vs IND |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 8.0 | 8.4 |
| Last season per game | 10.1 | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 75% |
| Trade value | 3 | 3 |