Malik NabersorTerry McLaurin?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Terry McLaurin
Terry McLaurin outscores Malik Nabers in 57% of simulations.
Malik Nabers still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Terry McLaurin is the better bet, not a sure thing. Terry McLaurin projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Terry McLaurin has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (15% more than average to WRs); Malik Nabers faces the Arizona Cardinals (6% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 21.1
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 17.5
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Terry McLaurinWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 12.0 | 12.3 |
| Standard projection | 7.6 | 8.2 |
| Rank this week | WR24 | WR21 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.2 | 8.4 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 75% |
| Trade value | 4 | 3 |