Carnell TateorKeon Coleman?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Carnell Tate
Carnell Tate outscores Keon Coleman in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Keon Coleman comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Carnell Tate, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Carnell Tate projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Carnell Tate faces the Houston Texans (2% more than average to WRs), Keon Coleman faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Keon Coleman is the pick at 52%. Carnell Tate is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 16.4
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Carnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Keon ColemanWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.9 | 8.2 |
| PPR projection | 11.6 | 10.0 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | WR24 | WR28 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | at LAR |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.9 | 8.7 |
| Last season per game | — | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 78% |
| Trade value | 10 | — |