Luther Burden IIIorRome Odunze?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Rome Odunze

Rome Odunze outscores Luther Burden III in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Luther Burden III comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Rome Odunze, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 8.1 half-PPR points in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Rome Odunze faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs), Luther Burden III faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Luther Burden III
Floor
1.7
Median
6.6
Ceiling
16.8
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
46%
Rome Odunze
Floor
2.1
Median
6.7
Ceiling
15.7
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
44%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatLuther Burden IIIWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETRome OdunzeWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.18.1
PPR projection10.19.7
Standard projection6.16.5
Rank this weekWR38WR36
Matchupvs NYJvs NYJ
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.36.0
Last season per game7.010.3
Snap share, last game61%85%
Trade value——