Mike EvansorTerry McLaurin?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Terry McLaurin
Terry McLaurin outscores Mike Evans in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mike Evans comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Terry McLaurin, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Terry McLaurin projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Terry McLaurin has the better matchup against the New York Giants (8% more than average to WRs); Mike Evans faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to WRs). Terry McLaurin is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 16.9
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Mike EvansWR, SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Terry McLaurinWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.2 | 8.8 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 10.6 |
| Standard projection | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| Rank this week | WR29 | WR26 |
| Matchup | at SEA | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 10.4 | 8.4 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 59% | 75% |
| Trade value | 3 | 3 |