Keon ColemanorTerry McLaurin?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin outscores Keon Coleman in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Keon Coleman comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Terry McLaurin, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Terry McLaurin projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Terry McLaurin faces the New York Giants (8% more than average to WRs), Keon Coleman faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs). Terry McLaurin is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Keon Coleman
Floor
1.9
Median
6.7
Ceiling
16.5
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
44%
Terry McLaurin
Floor
1.1
Median
8.0
Ceiling
16.9
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
35%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKeon ColemanWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ETTerry McLaurinWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.28.8
PPR projection10.010.6
Standard projection6.57.1
Rank this weekWR30WR26
Matchupat LARvs NYG
InjuryNoneQuestionable
2026 points per game8.78.4
Last season per game7.09.5
Snap share, last game78%75%
Trade value—3