Jaylin NoelorWan'Dale Robinson?

Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Wan'Dale Robinson

Wan'Dale Robinson outscores Jaylin Noel in 58% of simulations.

Jaylin Noel still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Wan'Dale Robinson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Wan'Dale Robinson projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Jaylin Noel has the better matchup against the New York Giants (5% more than average to WRs); Wan'Dale Robinson faces the Cleveland Browns (4% fewer than average to WRs). Wan'Dale Robinson still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Wan'Dale Robinson wins 52%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jaylin Noel
Floor
1.3
Median
5.9
Ceiling
16.2
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
50%
Wan'Dale Robinson
Floor
2.7
Median
7.5
Ceiling
16.4
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
39%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJaylin NoelWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ETWan'Dale RobinsonWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.88.6
PPR projection9.110.9
Standard projection6.66.2
Rank this weekWR37WR33
Matchupvs NYGvs CLE
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.47.4
Last season per game3.310.7
Snap share, last game49%59%
Trade value——