KC ConcepcionorKeenan Allen?

Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean KC Concepcion

KC Concepcion outscores Keenan Allen in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Keenan Allen comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean KC Concepcion, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. KC Concepcion projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: KC Concepcion faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (5% more than average to WRs), Keenan Allen faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (8% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

KC Concepcion
Floor
2.6
Median
7.9
Ceiling
18.2
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
36%
Keenan Allen
Floor
2.3
Median
7.0
Ceiling
15.5
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
41%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETKeenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.28.4
PPR projection11.811.0
Standard projection6.65.9
Rank this weekWR22WR26
Matchupat PITat JAX
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.87.7
Last season per game—8.4
Snap share, last game79%49%
Trade value——