Denzel BostonorLuther Burden III?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Denzel Boston
Denzel Boston outscores Luther Burden III in 70% of simulations.
Luther Burden III still comes out ahead in the other 30%, so Denzel Boston is the better bet, not a sure thing. Denzel Boston projects 4.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Denzel Boston faces the Baltimore Ravens (14% more than average to WRs), Luther Burden III faces the Atlanta Falcons (12% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Denzel Boston wins 75%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 22.0
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 17.4
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Denzel BostonWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Luther Burden IIIWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.9 | 8.6 |
| PPR projection | 14.7 | 10.6 |
| Standard projection | 11.2 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | WR10 | WR26 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.2 | 8.9 |
| Last season per game | — | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 91% | 77% |
| Trade value | 23 | — |