KC ConcepcionorMichael Wilson?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores KC Concepcion in 55% of simulations.
KC Concepcion still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Michael Wilson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Michael Wilson projects 1.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Michael Wilson has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (23% more than average to WRs); KC Concepcion faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (5% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 18.2
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 21.9
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.2 | 10.9 |
| PPR projection | 11.8 | 13.6 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR18 |
| Matchup | at PIT | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.8 | 9.1 |
| Last season per game | — | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 79% | 90% |
| Trade value | — | 4 |