A.J. BrownorRashee Rice?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Rashee Rice
Rashee Rice outscores A.J. Brown in 72% of simulations.
A.J. Brown still comes out ahead in the other 28%, so Rashee Rice is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rashee Rice projects 4.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Rashee Rice faces the Denver Broncos (16% fewer than average to WRs), A.J. Brown faces the Miami Dolphins (13% fewer than average to WRs). A.J. Brown is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
- Floor
- 5.0
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 21.1
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 15%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | A.J. BrownWR, NE, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 9.7 | 15.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 9.8 |
| Rank this week | WR30 | WR10 |
| Matchup | at MIA | at DEN |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.9 | 10.5 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 91% | 77% |
| Trade value | 4 | 38 |