DJ MooreorLadd McConkey?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Ladd McConkey
Ladd McConkey outscores DJ Moore in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DJ Moore comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Ladd McConkey, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. DJ Moore projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. DJ Moore has the better matchup against the New England Patriots (3% fewer than average to WRs); Ladd McConkey faces the Seattle Seahawks (19% fewer than average to WRs). Ladd McConkey still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.1
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ladd McConkeyWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.6 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 7.0 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | WR32 | WR34 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.4 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 9.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 88% |
| Trade value | 1 | 5 |