DeMario DouglasorJordan Watkins?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jordan Watkins
Jordan Watkins outscores DeMario Douglas in 55% of simulations.
DeMario Douglas still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Jordan Watkins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jordan Watkins projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Jordan Watkins faces the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs), DeMario Douglas faces the Detroit Lions (14% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 19.2
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 19.1
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 32%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DeMario DouglasWR, NE, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET | Jordan WatkinsWR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.1 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 10.8 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 8.7 |
| Rank this week | WR25 | WR23 |
| Matchup | at DET | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.0 | 8.3 |
| Last season per game | 5.0 | 1.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 68% | 77% |
| Trade value | — | 3 |