Rashee RiceorTetairoa McMillan?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Rashee Rice
Rashee Rice outscores Tetairoa McMillan in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tetairoa McMillan comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Rashee Rice, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tetairoa McMillan projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Rashee Rice faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs), Tetairoa McMillan faces the Philadelphia Eagles (1% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 22.3
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 25.7
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.1 | 13.3 |
| PPR projection | 15.9 | 16.0 |
| Standard projection | 10.3 | 10.6 |
| Rank this week | WR10 | WR8 |
| Matchup | vs LAC | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.5 | 15.4 |
| Last season per game | 15.5 | 10.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 89% |
| Trade value | 38 | 36 |