Caleb DouglasorChris Olave?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores Caleb Douglas in 57% of simulations.
Caleb Douglas still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Chris Olave is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chris Olave projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Caleb Douglas has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (18% more than average to WRs); Chris Olave faces the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs). Chris Olave still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Chris Olave wins 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 21.7
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 21.3
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Caleb DouglasWR, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.4 | 12.5 |
| PPR projection | 13.2 | 15.5 |
| Standard projection | 9.6 | 9.5 |
| Rank this week | WR15 | WR11 |
| Matchup | vs DET | vs CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.3 | 14.3 |
| Last season per game | — | 13.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 77% |
| Trade value | 12 | 34 |