Amon-Ra St. BrownorJustin Jefferson?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Justin Jefferson in 57% of simulations.
Justin Jefferson still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Amon-Ra St. Brown is the better bet, not a sure thing. Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 1.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Justin Jefferson has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (20% more than average to WRs); Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the Minnesota Vikings (23% fewer than average to WRs). Amon-Ra St. Brown still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.1
- Median
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 25.1
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 10.9
- Ceiling
- 21.8
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Justin JeffersonWR, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.0 | 12.3 |
| PPR projection | 17.1 | 15.1 |
| Standard projection | 10.8 | 9.5 |
| Rank this week | WR7 | WR10 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | at DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.6 | 12.1 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 9.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 93% |
| Trade value | 57 | 19 |