Denzel BostonorJustin Jefferson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Denzel Boston
Denzel Boston outscores Justin Jefferson in 55% of simulations.
Justin Jefferson still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Denzel Boston is the better bet, not a sure thing. Denzel Boston projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Denzel Boston faces the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs), Justin Jefferson faces the New Orleans Saints (9% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 20.2
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 9.4
- Ceiling
- 18.7
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 25%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Denzel BostonWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Justin JeffersonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.5 | 10.6 |
| PPR projection | 13.1 | 13.0 |
| Standard projection | 9.9 | 8.3 |
| Rank this week | WR16 | WR19 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.2 | 12.8 |
| Last season per game | — | 9.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 95% | 12% |
| Trade value | 26 | 21 |