Denzel BostonorTee Higgins?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Denzel Boston

Denzel Boston outscores Tee Higgins in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tee Higgins comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Denzel Boston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Denzel Boston projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Denzel Boston has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (7% more than average to WRs); Tee Higgins faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (2% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Denzel Boston
Floor
4.7
Median
11.6
Ceiling
22.5
Big game (20+):
15%
Dud (under 6):
17%
Tee Higgins
Floor
4.3
Median
11.0
Ceiling
22.8
Big game (20+):
15%
Dud (under 6):
19%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDenzel BostonWR, CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ETTee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.812.4
PPR projection14.414.6
Standard projection11.310.3
Rank this weekWR11WR13
Matchupvs PITvs JAX
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.712.5
Last season per game—12.1
Snap share, last game89%93%
Trade value2426