Justin JeffersonorOmar Cooper Jr.?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Omar Cooper Jr.

Omar Cooper Jr. outscores Justin Jefferson in 68% of simulations.

Justin Jefferson still comes out ahead in the other 32%, so Omar Cooper Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Omar Cooper Jr. projects 6.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Justin Jefferson has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (1% more than average to WRs); Omar Cooper Jr. faces the Kansas City Chiefs (18% fewer than average to WRs). Omar Cooper Jr. still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Omar Cooper Jr. wins 73%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Justin Jefferson
Floor
4.0
Median
10.0
Ceiling
19.5
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
23%
Omar Cooper Jr.
Floor
5.2
Median
15.0
Ceiling
33.6
Big game (20+):
34%
Dud (under 6):
13%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJustin JeffersonWR, MIN, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ETOmar Cooper Jr.WR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection11.217.6
PPR projection13.720.0
Standard projection8.715.2
Rank this weekWR13WR3
Matchupvs BUFat KC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.114.3
Last season per game9.4—
Snap share, last game96%64%
Trade value1876