Tank DellorZay Flowers?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Zay Flowers
Zay Flowers outscores Tank Dell in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tank Dell comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Zay Flowers, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Zay Flowers projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Zay Flowers has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (3% more than average to WRs); Tank Dell faces the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Tank Dell is the pick at 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 10.0
- Ceiling
- 21.5
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 21.9
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Tank DellWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zay FlowersWR, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.6 | 11.7 |
| PPR projection | 12.9 | 14.2 |
| Standard projection | 10.4 | 9.1 |
| Rank this week | WR15 | WR14 |
| Matchup | at CLE | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.8 | 13.3 |
| Last season per game | — | 11.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 47% | 66% |
| Trade value | 30 | 20 |