Jahmyr GibbsorPuka Nacua?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jahmyr Gibbs
Jahmyr Gibbs outscores Puka Nacua in 62% of simulations.
Puka Nacua still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Jahmyr Gibbs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jahmyr Gibbs projects 5.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Jahmyr Gibbs faces the Green Bay Packers (10% more than average to RBs), Puka Nacua faces the Las Vegas Raiders (7% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Jahmyr Gibbs wins 56%; in Standard leagues, Jahmyr Gibbs wins 68%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.7
- Median
- 22.6
- Ceiling
- 44.4
- Big game (20+):
- 58%
- Dud (under 6):
- 3%
- Floor
- 8.2
- Median
- 17.5
- Ceiling
- 32.7
- Big game (20+):
- 40%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jahmyr GibbsRB, DET, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET | Puka NacuaWR, LAR, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 25.3 | 19.7 |
| PPR projection | 27.9 | 24.2 |
| Standard projection | 22.7 | 15.2 |
| Rank this week | RB1 | WR1 |
| Matchup | vs GB | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 28.0 | 18.3 |
| Last season per game | 19.3 | 19.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 70% | 90% |
| Trade value | 100 | 59 |