Bijan RobinsonorPuka Nacua?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Puka Nacua
Puka Nacua outscores Bijan Robinson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bijan Robinson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Puka Nacua, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Puka Nacua projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Puka Nacua has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (7% more than average to WRs); Bijan Robinson faces the Chicago Bears (7% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Puka Nacua wins 58%; in Standard leagues, Bijan Robinson is the pick at 54%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.6
- Median
- 18.6
- Ceiling
- 33.4
- Big game (20+):
- 44%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
- Floor
- 8.8
- Median
- 18.9
- Ceiling
- 35.0
- Big game (20+):
- 45%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bijan RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Puka NacuaWR, LAR, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 20.0 | 21.1 |
| PPR projection | 21.9 | 25.8 |
| Standard projection | 18.1 | 16.4 |
| Rank this week | RB1 | WR1 |
| Matchup | vs CHI | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 22.4 | 20.8 |
| Last season per game | 19.5 | 19.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 85% |
| Trade value | 79 | 79 |