Kyren WilliamsorPuka Nacua?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Kyren Williams
Kyren Williams outscores Puka Nacua in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Puka Nacua comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Kyren Williams, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kyren Williams projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Kyren Williams has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (16% more than average to RBs); Puka Nacua faces the Buffalo Bills (average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Puka Nacua is the pick at 53%; in Standard leagues, Kyren Williams wins 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.2
- Median
- 17.5
- Ceiling
- 29.6
- Big game (20+):
- 39%
- Dud (under 6):
- 2%
- Floor
- 7.8
- Median
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 31.2
- Big game (20+):
- 36%
- Dud (under 6):
- 5%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Puka NacuaWR, LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 19.0 | 18.8 |
| PPR projection | 21.0 | 22.7 |
| Standard projection | 16.9 | 14.9 |
| Rank this week | RB3 | WR2 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 19.8 | 16.6 |
| Last season per game | 14.4 | 19.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 83% | 90% |
| Trade value | 63 | 80 |