Breece HallorKyren Williams?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kyren Williams
Kyren Williams outscores Breece Hall in 64% of simulations.
Breece Hall still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Kyren Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kyren Williams projects 2.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Kyren Williams faces the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs), Breece Hall faces the Buffalo Bills (15% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 22.5
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 7.0
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Breece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.7 | 15.2 |
| PPR projection | 14.2 | 16.8 |
| Standard projection | 11.2 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | RB12 | RB8 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.9 | 15.7 |
| Last season per game | 11.9 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 64% |
| Trade value | 17 | 38 |