MarShawn LloydorTyler Allgeier?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean MarShawn Lloyd
MarShawn Lloyd outscores Tyler Allgeier in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyler Allgeier comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean MarShawn Lloyd, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. MarShawn Lloyd projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: MarShawn Lloyd faces the Detroit Lions (12% fewer than average to RBs), Tyler Allgeier faces the Denver Broncos (8% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 5.0
- Ceiling
- 11.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 11.1
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 61%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.1 | 5.8 |
| PPR projection | 6.9 | 6.5 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| Rank this week | RB33 | RB37 |
| Matchup | at DET | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.5 | 5.6 |
| Last season per game | — | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 40% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |