Brian RobinsonorMarShawn Lloyd?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean MarShawn Lloyd
MarShawn Lloyd outscores Brian Robinson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brian Robinson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean MarShawn Lloyd, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brian Robinson projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Brian Robinson has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (6% more than average to RBs); MarShawn Lloyd faces the Detroit Lions (12% fewer than average to RBs). MarShawn Lloyd still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.8
- Median
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 14.2
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 61%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 5.0
- Ceiling
- 11.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Brian RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.4 | 6.1 |
| PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.0 | 5.4 |
| Rank this week | RB32 | RB33 |
| Matchup | vs SF | at DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.4 | 6.5 |
| Last season per game | 3.4 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 18% | 40% |
| Trade value | — | — |