Brian RobinsonorKenny Gainwell?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kenny Gainwell
Kenny Gainwell outscores Brian Robinson in 56% of simulations.
Brian Robinson still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Kenny Gainwell is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kenny Gainwell projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Kenny Gainwell faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (7% fewer than average to RBs), Brian Robinson faces the Chicago Bears (6% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Kenny Gainwell wins 61%; in Standard leagues, Brian Robinson is the pick at 50%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 5.0
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 15.0
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brian RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.6 | 7.3 |
| PPR projection | 6.8 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 5.8 |
| Rank this week | RB31 | RB27 |
| Matchup | vs CHI | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.7 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 3.4 | 10.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 22% | 36% |
| Trade value | — | — |