Brian RobinsonorRachaad White?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Rachaad White
Rachaad White outscores Brian Robinson in 56% of simulations.
Brian Robinson still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Rachaad White is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rachaad White projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Rachaad White has the better matchup against the New York Giants (12% more than average to RBs); Brian Robinson faces the Baltimore Ravens (2% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Rachaad White wins 61%; in Standard leagues, Rachaad White wins 51%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 16.1
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brian RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 p.m. ET | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 8.4 |
| PPR projection | 8.0 | 9.8 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 7.0 |
| Rank this week | RB28 | RB24 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.8 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 3.4 | 7.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 42% | 43% |
| Trade value | — | — |