Rachaad WhiteorTony Pollard?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard outscores Rachaad White in 57% of simulations.
Rachaad White still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Tony Pollard is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tony Pollard projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Tony Pollard faces the Baltimore Ravens (1% more than average to RBs), Rachaad White faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.1 | 9.1 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.8 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | RB31 | RB27 |
| Matchup | vs IND | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Last season per game | 7.2 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 53% |
| Trade value | — | — |