Kalel MullingsorPatrick Ricard?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Patrick Ricard
Patrick Ricard outscores Kalel Mullings in 55% of simulations.
Kalel Mullings still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Patrick Ricard is the better bet, not a sure thing. Patrick Ricard projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Patrick Ricard has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (5% more than average to RBs); Kalel Mullings faces the Houston Texans (13% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Patrick Ricard wins 68%; in Standard leagues, Kalel Mullings is the pick at 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.2
- Ceiling
- 0.4
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.2
- Ceiling
- 0.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kalel MullingsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Patrick RicardRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| PPR projection | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Standard projection | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Rank this week | RB78 | RB77 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 0.3 |
| Last season per game | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 46% |
| Trade value | — | — |