Kalel MullingsorTahj Brooks?

Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Tahj Brooks

Tahj Brooks outscores Kalel Mullings in 58% of simulations.

Kalel Mullings still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Tahj Brooks is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tahj Brooks projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Tahj Brooks has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (18% more than average to RBs); Kalel Mullings faces the Houston Texans (13% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kalel Mullings
Floor
0.0
Median
0.2
Ceiling
0.4
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%
Tahj Brooks
Floor
0.0
Median
0.2
Ceiling
1.0
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKalel MullingsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETTahj BrooksRB, CIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection0.20.4
PPR projection0.20.4
Standard projection0.20.4
Rank this weekRB78RB76
Matchupvs HOUat MIA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game—0.0
Last season per game0.20.5
Snap share, last game—0%
Trade value——