Kalel MullingsorTravis Homer?

Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Kalel Mullings

Kalel Mullings outscores Travis Homer in 75% of simulations.

Travis Homer comes out ahead in the other 25%. Kalel Mullings projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Travis Homer has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (2% fewer than average to RBs); Kalel Mullings faces the Houston Texans (13% fewer than average to RBs). Kalel Mullings still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kalel Mullings
Floor
0.0
Median
0.2
Ceiling
0.4
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%
Travis Homer
Floor
0.0
Median
0.1
Ceiling
0.2
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKalel MullingsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETTravis HomerRB, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection0.20.1
PPR projection0.20.1
Standard projection0.20.1
Rank this weekRB78RB79
Matchupvs HOUvs IND
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game—0.5
Last season per game0.20.0
Snap share, last game—3%
Trade value——