Kenny PickettorTommy DeVito?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Tommy DeVito
Tommy DeVito outscores Kenny Pickett in 64% of simulations.
Kenny Pickett still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Tommy DeVito is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 0.1 half-PPR points in Week 10. Tommy DeVito has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (23% more than average to QBs); Kenny Pickett faces the New Orleans Saints (3% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.1
- Ceiling
- 0.2
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.1
- Ceiling
- 0.2
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kenny PickettQB, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tommy DeVitoQB, NE, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| PPR projection | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Standard projection | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Rank this week | QB40 | QB41 |
| Matchup | at NO | at DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Last season per game | 1.3 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 23% | 19% |
| Trade value | — | — |