Lil'Jordan HumphreyorMitchell Tinsley?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Mitchell Tinsley
Mitchell Tinsley outscores Lil'Jordan Humphrey in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Lil'Jordan Humphrey comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Mitchell Tinsley, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 3.4 half-PPR points in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Mitchell Tinsley faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (2% fewer than average to WRs), Lil'Jordan Humphrey faces the San Francisco 49ers (1% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 2.5
- Ceiling
- 7.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 84%
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 2.6
- Ceiling
- 7.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 84%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Mitchell TinsleyWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| PPR projection | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| Standard projection | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Rank this week | WR106 | WR107 |
| Matchup | at SF | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.0 | — |
| Last season per game | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 5% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |