Najee HarrisorZavier Scott?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Najee Harris
Najee Harris outscores Zavier Scott in 58% of simulations.
Zavier Scott still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Najee Harris is the better bet, not a sure thing. Najee Harris projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Najee Harris faces the Washington Commanders (5% more than average to RBs), Zavier Scott faces the Green Bay Packers (11% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Najee Harris wins 52%; in Standard leagues, Najee Harris wins 66%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 2.8
- Ceiling
- 6.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 90%
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 2.1
- Ceiling
- 7.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 86%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Najee HarrisRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zavier ScottRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| PPR projection | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| Standard projection | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| Rank this week | RB51 | RB52 |
| Matchup | at WAS | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 2.9 | — |
| Last season per game | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 18% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |