2026 dynasty QB rankings

Who to hold for the next four seasons, not just this one, on a 0–100 scale. Half-PPR, 12-team, one-quarterback leagues.

Rank	Player	Value	Age	Per game
1	Josh AllenBUF	65	30	24.5
2	Joe BurrowCIN	50	29	22.7
3	Drake MayeNE	50	24	21.8
4	Brock PurdySF	27	26	19.5
5	Caleb WilliamsCHI	25	24	18.6
6	Trevor LawrenceJAX	22	27	19.0
7	Jayden DanielsWAS	18	25	18.3
8	Patrick MahomesKC	16	31	18.5
9	Jordan LoveGB	13	28	17.8
10	Jared GoffDET	12	32	18.6
11	C.J. StroudHOU	10	25	17.3
12	Dak PrescottDAL	5	33	18.4
13	Matthew StaffordLAR	3	38	17.8
14	Bo NixDEN	2	26	16.3
15	Ty SimpsonLAR, rookie (1st round)	2	23	15.0
16	Kirk CousinsLV	1	38	16.8

How we rank: we start from each player's projected half-PPR points per game, the same number behind our weekly and rest-of-season rankings. For players in their first three seasons, that small sample is blended with what players drafted in the same range (1st round, 2nd–3rd round, later or undrafted) at the same position, in their second to fourth seasons, score now. Draft capital can lift a young player but never drag down one who is already producing.

Then we age it. Before a player's peak, we expect points per game to grow a little each year; after it, to fall. Peak ages: QB 26–33, RB 23–26, WR 24–29, TE 25–30. Running backs fall fastest (15% a year past 26), quarterbacks last. These curves are rules of thumb, not fitted to data.

Value is points above a replacement-level player at the position, added up over the rest of this season and the next three, with each later season counting 80% as much as the one before. The top player is 100. Injured-reserve players lose part of this season only. The Per game column is the starting estimate, before aging.