Alex BachmanorDevin Duvernay?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Alex Bachman
Alex Bachman outscores Devin Duvernay in 63% of simulations.
Devin Duvernay still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Alex Bachman is the better bet, not a sure thing. Alex Bachman projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Devin Duvernay has the better matchup against the New York Giants (11% more than average to WRs); Alex Bachman faces the Philadelphia Eagles (7% fewer than average to WRs). Alex Bachman still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Alex Bachman wins 56%; in Standard leagues, Devin Duvernay is the pick at 50%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.1
- Ceiling
- 0.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.1
- Ceiling
- 0.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Alex BachmanWR, LAR, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Devin DuvernayWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| PPR projection | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Standard projection | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Rank this week | WR127 | WR129 |
| Matchup | at PHI | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 0.0 |
| Last season per game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 0% |
| Trade value | — | — |