Breece HallorRJ Harvey?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Breece Hall
Breece Hall outscores RJ Harvey in 56% of simulations.
RJ Harvey still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Breece Hall is the better bet, not a sure thing. Breece Hall projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Breece Hall faces the Cleveland Browns (8% fewer than average to RBs), RJ Harvey faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.1
- Median
- 9.8
- Ceiling
- 20.0
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 18.2
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 32%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Breece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | RJ HarveyRB, DEN, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.3 | 9.9 |
| PPR projection | 12.6 | 12.0 |
| Standard projection | 10.0 | 7.9 |
| Rank this week | RB19 | RB22 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 9.4 |
| Last season per game | 11.9 | 10.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 44% |
| Trade value | 18 | 6 |