Brevyn Spann-FordorJosiah Deguara?

Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Josiah Deguara

Josiah Deguara outscores Brevyn Spann-Ford in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Brevyn Spann-Ford comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Josiah Deguara, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 1.3 half-PPR points in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Josiah Deguara faces the Los Angeles Rams (14% fewer than average to TEs), Brevyn Spann-Ford faces the Houston Texans (9% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Brevyn Spann-Ford
Floor
0.1
Median
0.8
Ceiling
3.2
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
96%
Josiah Deguara
Floor
0.1
Median
0.8
Ceiling
3.3
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
97%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBrevyn Spann-FordTE, DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETJosiah DeguaraTE, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection1.31.3
PPR projection1.61.5
Standard projection1.01.1
Rank this weekTE70TE68
Matchupat HOUvs LAR
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game1.6—
Last season per game1.21.4
Snap share, last game38%—
Trade value——