Cam WardorCase Keenum?
Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Cam Ward
Cam Ward outscores Case Keenum in 99% of simulations.
Case Keenum comes out ahead in the other 1%. Cam Ward projects 11.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Cam Ward faces the Indianapolis Colts (11% more than average to QBs), Case Keenum faces the Atlanta Falcons (5% more than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.9
- Median
- 11.4
- Ceiling
- 19.9
- Big game (25+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 12):
- 55%
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 0.6
- Ceiling
- 0.9
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cam WardQB, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Case KeenumQB, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.1 | 0.6 |
| PPR projection | 12.1 | 0.6 |
| Standard projection | 12.1 | 0.6 |
| Rank this week | QB20 | QB24 |
| Matchup | at IND | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.3 | 12.6 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 33% |
| Trade value | — | — |