Chig OkonkwoorDalton Schultz?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Dalton Schultz
Dalton Schultz outscores Chig Okonkwo in 59% of simulations.
Chig Okonkwo still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Dalton Schultz is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dalton Schultz projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Chig Okonkwo has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Rams (15% fewer than average to TEs); Dalton Schultz faces the Los Angeles Chargers (25% fewer than average to TEs). Dalton Schultz still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 9.5
- Big game (15+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 5):
- 60%
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 11.1
- Big game (15+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 5):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chig OkonkwoTE, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Dalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.9 | 6.0 |
| PPR projection | 6.5 | 8.0 |
| Standard projection | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| Rank this week | TE26 | TE24 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | at LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.9 | 7.0 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 8.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 57% |
| Trade value | — | — |