Dalton KincaidorKenyon Sadiq?

Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Kenyon Sadiq

Kenyon Sadiq outscores Dalton Kincaid in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Dalton Kincaid comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Kenyon Sadiq, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenyon Sadiq projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Kenyon Sadiq faces the Chicago Bears (15% fewer than average to TEs), Dalton Kincaid faces the New England Patriots (10% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Dalton Kincaid
Floor
3.0
Median
8.4
Ceiling
18.2
Big game (15+):
17%
Dud (under 5):
25%
Kenyon Sadiq
Floor
2.8
Median
8.6
Ceiling
20.8
Big game (15+):
22%
Dud (under 5):
26%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDalton KincaidTE, BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETKenyon SadiqTE, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.610.4
PPR projection11.412.3
Standard projection7.88.5
Rank this weekTE12TE8
Matchupvs NEat CHI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.410.9
Last season per game8.9—
Snap share, last game67%58%
Trade value715