Kenyon SadiqorTravis Kelce?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Travis Kelce
Travis Kelce outscores Kenyon Sadiq in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kenyon Sadiq comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Travis Kelce, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Travis Kelce projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Travis Kelce faces the Las Vegas Raiders (2% fewer than average to TEs), Kenyon Sadiq faces the Chicago Bears (9% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 21.6
- Big game (15+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 5):
- 25%
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 10.0
- Ceiling
- 20.5
- Big game (15+):
- 25%
- Dud (under 5):
- 16%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kenyon SadiqTE, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.8 | 11.3 |
| PPR projection | 12.8 | 13.6 |
| Standard projection | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| Rank this week | TE7 | TE4 |
| Matchup | at CHI | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.9 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | — | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 79% |
| Trade value | 15 | 16 |